RAY: This was sent in by someone named Christopher from Atlanta, who writes:

My friend, Max says to me, “I just read that three of the first five presidents of the United States died, ready for this? On the Fourth of July. What do you think the odds of that happening are?” I reply, “No idea. But, I'll give you 10-to-one odds that I can name at least one of the three.”

Now I don't know anything about the first five presidents, he writes,  except that their names are: Washington, Adams, Jefferson, Madison and Monroe. In that order.

So the question is: How am I justified in offering my friend 10-to-one odds when, guessing randomly, I have only a three-in-five chance?